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Capture the essence of our Investment Forum in these videos and articles

From the prospects for China (despite the trade war ructions) to the outlook for the rival US economy in an election year, from the policies needed to regulate the mushrooming tech industry to those necessary to contain global warming – and the associated opportunities – watch these videos with five keynote speakers at the latest BNP Paribas Asset Management Investment Forum.

Disruptive change goes hand in hand with a changing world. Apart from assessing the state of play and the outlook, the forum sought to lay the groundwork for solutions and strategies that can make a difference to client portfolios as our analysts and other specialists dissect input from the forum, and the latest trends, and pinpoint opportunities for investors.

Here is a brief overview of the topics and the speakers at our Investment Forum.

There is so much opportunity for investors in China’s markets - Amy Celico

Regulation in Washington and Beijing has been imposing limits on our ability to interact with China, while greater competition on technology is restricting global innovation. However, there are many opportunities outside of the tech sphere, in less regulated areas: healthcare, consumer products, financial services, non-sensitive areas in need of foreign investment. What would help is if China took more action on opening-up rather than just talking about it.

Watch the video / read the article

There are many questions that matter for the US outlook - Jason Furman

With the US economy set to slow to trend growth, what can policymakers do? There is some scope for looser monetary policy, but who will be the next chair of the Federal Reserve? Economic and fiscal policy could also play a role, but what are politicians willing to do at a time of already high debt? Given the political constraints, large tax cuts look unlikely. What can we expect from the next administration in terms of regulation of healthcare, energy, finance and tech?

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We need smart regulation or we will end up with “rather crazy” policies - Jean Tirole

Regulating (tech) competition needs to be more agile and faster. Issues include common ownership by institutional investors, most favoured nations status, best price guarantees – action is required to keep markets contestable. On climate change, pricing or taxing carbon would be simple and efficient. It will take a lobby for carbon pricing as well as making people aware of the stakes. It is important smart solutions are developed so investors can invest in the right sustainable investing vehicles.

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The current basket of policies is not going to limit global warming to 1.5°C - Jane Ambachtsheer

Looking at the concept of the ‘inevitable policy response’ to help the transition to a low-carbon world, these are the takeaways: 1) the electrification of the energy system: by 2030, half of the energy supply will come from renewable sources; 2) by then, 70% of passenger vehicles will be electrical; 3) in terms of land use, we will see the end of deforestation by then. To make sure the Paris Agreement targets are implemented, we will need to see continued policy change.

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A freight train is coming… straight at the oil & gas industry - Mark Lewis

After decades of operating without competition, the oil & gas industry will have to rethink its business model since more and more electrical vehicles will use energy from renewable sources. It has just 10-15 years to do so. That is the time it will take the renewable energy industry to scale globally. This will have a devastating impact on the oil & gas industry’s market capitalisation and investment returns – much along the lines of what has already happened to the utilities industry.

Watch the video / read the article

For the Investment Forum 2019 video playlist, click here >

For more on the Investment Forum 2019, click here >

This article appeared in The Intelligence Report - 10 December 2019

The Intelligence Report TIR

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Any views expressed here are those of the author as of the date of publication, are based on available information, and are subject to change without notice. Individual portfolio management teams may hold different views and may take different investment decisions for different clients.

The value of investments and the income they generate may go down as well as up and it is possible that investors will not recover their initial outlay.

Investing in emerging markets, or specialised or restricted sectors is likely to be subject to a higher-than-average volatility due to a high degree of concentration, greater uncertainty because less information is available, there is less liquidity or due to greater sensitivity to changes in market conditions (social, political and economic conditions).

Some emerging markets offer less security than the majority of international developed markets. For this reason, services for portfolio transactions, liquidation and conservation on behalf of funds invested in emerging markets may carry greater risk.

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